Tuesday, November 3, 2020

AMERICAN 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: STRETCHING DEMOCRACY TO ITS LIMITS

 


As the United States today goes to probably her most “consequential” presidential election ever, Church Arise! foresees incumbent President Donald J. Trump triumphing again at the polls, but understands that the final outcome would depend on the LORD’s ultimate agenda for the world.

The fundamentals have not changed much since the previous election, which pitted the Globalists Camp against the (Ultra)Nationalists. Prior to the unexpected emergence of Trump as the Republican candidate in  2016, presidential elections in the United States had largely reduced to making a choice between “six” and “a half-dozen” with the candidates of the two major parties both coming from the same so-called Establishment Deep State.  As we once pointed out, for a while (over thirty-two years), the office of the President of the United States seemed to have become the exclusive preserve of just two families - the Bush and the Clintons.  Apparently Barack Obama was brought in to help push the New World Order agenda (particularly the new sexuality aspects) to a new level, before Hillary Clinton was expected to take the driver seat in the home run to the full manifestation of the Anti-Christ.

Trump’s emergence violently disrupted all that in 2016.  And it was facilitated by a nationalistic “America First” policy that boldly baulks at the globalist agenda that seeks to bring all the nations of the earth under one common set of humanism-minded rulers, ruining some and “raising” others to arrive at some sort of artificial equality.  It should not be surprising that many Americans would prefer that their country remains no 1 in the world, although the Deep State with its mastery of the art of gaslighting kept screaming Hillary Clinton’s imminent landslide win, right up to election day!

In 2020, the Deep State is more somber and far less boisterous. With all the enormous efforts put into the COVID-19 plandemic ruse, which some have credibly claimed was instigated principally to destabilize Trump and kick him out of the Oval office, that may be far from happening.  Similarly, the lockdowns badly affected the economy, Trump’s major trump card for seeking re-election; but then in literally no time at all, with amazing dexterity displayed by Trump, the economy is unarguably roaring back to life. Thus further bolstering Trump’s chances at the election.  Even his catching the coronavirus on October 2 later turned out to be a “blessing”, as after only a few days of treatment and isolation, he and his household were again back to the street totally virus-free.  He thus demonstrated loud and clear to the whole world that catching the virus, even for a member of the most vulnerable group of seniors (as Trump is, at 74), is neither a death sentence, nor sufficient reason to pass certain death sentence on millions with the lockdown of the economy and society!

Today, few people would doubt the role of titanic spiritual involvements in the determination of the outcome of the US presidential election.  Utterly frustrated and despondent, the association of witches in 2017 announced a monthly  spell-casting on Donald Trump, promising to cause him to make mistakes and take wrong decisions.  However, it is now so evident that all their Luciferic power is actually not as potent as they delude themselves!  Not even the unfortunate death of George Floyd which Satanists under the financial sponsorship of George Soros and his likes, turned into a world-wide tulmult could dent Trump’s rating.

Most certainly, one of the irrefutable signs of divine influence on the American presidential election is the unexpected death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg of pancreatic cancer at age 87, robbing the ultra liberal groups representing the Deep State of an indescribably strategic seat on the apex court.  And the amazing point is that there had been at least one clear prophecy openly declaring that precisely that event would occur this year.  The fulfillment came exactly on Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish new year day.

Looking at what Donald Trump has managed to survive thus far, therefore, Church Arise! is inclined to predict a win for him again.  One factor that can possibly skew things are the judgements recently being passed by the US Supreme Court that votes sent in by mails can still be reckoned with even if they come days after November 3 (three days in Pennsylvania, and that without a clear postmark date) or even  more than a week, (in North Carolina, but with postmark date of not later than November 3).  Most Nigerians can almost smell a rat in this situation, but things are even much more complicated in the United States with her Electoral College system.  Thus, the life-and-death contention for the world’s top-office might still continue for well over a week after today. 

Nevertheless, whatever happens in the United States or anywhere else for that matter, we are confident the LORD God almighty is comfortably seated on His throne; and He is not about to be caught napping by any development that could occur somewhere on the globe!  As Alpha and Omega He knows the end from the beginning, and He is ever more in control.  All He requires of His children in these thrilling endtimes, is that we continue to trust Him, while we faithfully occupy whatever space He has positioned us for His glory, for the advancement of His Kingdom and for the benefit of mankind whom He “desperately” wants to save!

Shalom

Church Arise!

Ile-Ife, November 3, 2020


Thursday, October 29, 2020

NEW NIGERIA EMERGING: A TIME TO NOT FOLD HANDS

 


“The fool foldeth his hands together, and eateth his own flesh” Eccl. 4:5

 “Yet a little sleep, a little slumber, a little folding of the hands to sleep:..” – Prov 24:33

“…he that sleepeth in harvest is a son that causeth shame.”   – Prov. 10:5

 

 

Church Arise! watched with utter dismay the brazen hijack of a two-week peaceful protest organized by Nigerian youths, culminating in their being mowed down both at the Lekki toll gate and several other locations around the country.  By government’s own admission,  69 Nigerian lives were lost in the fracas instigated by hoodlums caught on camera being strategically deployed by government’s own security operatives.  (See here for a more thorough assessment of the fatalities associated with the #EndSARS protest).   It is incredible that government’s gaslighting team believes so much in their craft that they think they can so blatantly change the narrative of events witnessed live by a global audience!

 

While the #EndSARS leaders retire to lick their wound, and revise their strategy for engendering a new Nigeria, a new similarly amorphous and spontaneous movement is springing up.  Powered again mostly by youths, this time not the ones with the “fresh and interesting” appearances who have been the prime target of the notorious SARS police operatives, but the hunger-driven ones at the other end of the same frustrated generation.  From looting of government warehouses where billions-naira worth of essential materials and foodstuffs meant to serve as palliatives at the height of the COVID-19 lockdowns were kept, the rampage moved to homes of politicians, then shopping malls, and at the present time, government offices and Departments. Outposts of the Customs and Excise Department nationwide seem to be a particularly attractive honeycomb for the looters at the moment.

 

It is of course difficult to justify such actions, especially when looters swoop on warehouses and businesses of innocent citizens, ruining enterprises that had taken decades of sweat and grit to build. But it has been argued that such condemnations shouldn’t be coming from politicians who, for decades, have proven themselves to be the shameless “Looter Kings” of the nation’s commonwealth.

 

Understanding the Times

 

Church Arise! is called primarily to serve the Church –  the Body of the Lord Jesus Christ, in Nigeria.  We not only remind the children of God what times we are, in God’s eternal agenda, we attempt to point out what “Israel ought to be doing”. (1 Chr 12:32).

It seems pretty obvious to us that all the unfolding developments cannot be divorced from the extensive prayers that had preceded the 60th independence anniversary of Nigeria on October 1. There were groups within and outside the country that fasted and prayed for up to 40 days, some 60 days, and others even much longer – all asking that the LORD would do something new in Nigeria come October. The first EndSARS street protest took off precisely a week after the independence anniversary.

 

In our understanding, one of the chief gains of all these upheavals, (which we perceive as meant to shake and clear away the existing rotten foundation so the new could emerge), is that people are now sensitive and outraged about atrocities they had previously accommodated benumbed, over the past five years in the country. Suddenly people seem to be realizing how outrageously demeaning and dangerous to the country it is for a regime to fill the top hierarchy of all sensitive government departments (including every arms-bearing authority) by people of the same religion and from only one section of the country. Similarly, the current outcry at youths being shot and killed at the Lekki bridge by supposedly “unknown soldiers”, is remarkable. Why, quite similar scenarios have been playing out, ad infinitum, in scores of communities in northern Nigeria, with hardly more than mere whining from the general public (see here for our short tally for the first half of 2020 alone).  In the particularly outrageous case of the abduction and video-taped beheading of Rev Lawan Andimi, Chairman of the Christian Association of Nigeria in Michika LGA, Adamawa, a few courageous Church leaders actually took to the streets to protest  That at least provoked some response from the government: government graciously concurred that there were indeed security challenges in the nation, but quickly warned that no miracles should be expected given the prevailing situation government has found itself. Meanwhile the rest of the citizenry (including the vast majority of Church members) yawned, and followed the news bemusedly.  And soon it was back to business as usual!

 

To further highlight this serious matter, we point out that at this very present moment, there are at least some three million Nigerians languishing in several IDP camps in the North Eastern corridor of the country.  While the supposedly “ghost forces” that had come to sack them from their ancestral land had promptly “vanished” without trails after each massacre, their homes and farms are currently occupied by Fulani people imported from outside Nigeria!  Yet people in charge of the over-centralized national security (who all happen to be of the same ethnicity and religion as the new occupiers) insist they had no leads to follow!

 

Portals to the New Nigeria: Judicial Inquiries and Restructuring

 

We earnestly look forward to the judicial inquiries government has acceded to at the behest of the EndSARS movement; and now with heightened attention from all and sundry across the nation and beyond, we hope the inevitable restructuring that would usher in the new Nigeria of our dream can commence at last. These judicial inquiries promise not only to heal wounds as the truth emerges; with our prayers, they could also expose the enemy’s long-hatched plans.  For instance, it is now clear that men with military training and who have access to military fatigues, vehicles, arms and ammunition could be deployed to shoot Nigerians on Nigeria soil at an event being monitored globally. And that the official military authorities could declare they are totally ignorant of such deployment!  Furthermore, with Governor Sanwo-Olu now confirming that the Nigerian military was indeed present at Lekki toll gate, where the street lights were switched off and live bullets fired into thousands of protesters, it would be interesting to see what dirty secrets and ungodly covenants begin to unravel as the Judicial Panel interrogates all these. Readers can check here for links to follow live proceedings of the Lagos Judicial Panel.

 

In summarizing the major achievements of President Goodluck Jonathan as he gracefully conceded defeat to then candidate Buhari after the 2015 election primarily to save Nigerian lives, we at Church Arise! had applauded his commitment to restructure Nigeria as well as end the politics of “winner-takes-it-all” to which end he had convened a National Conference We were persuaded that irrespective of whoever operate the contraption called 1999 constitution, utter frustration and abysmal failure are the guaranteed outcomes.   The same consideration informed our statement urging Nigerians to vote out President Buhari in 2019.  This position has been vindicated as we now see key actors in the current regime desperately promoting the very same policies they had taken to the streets to protest when they were the opposition!  This clearly indicates that Nigeria’s politicians are mere pawns in the hands of some puppeteers, our real enemies hiding out there in plain sight.

 

Since these same forces are already maneuvering to again find a footing in the ongoing developments and continue with their satanic manipulation of our destiny, it is necessary we point them out here without any equivocation.  They include chiefly, key agencies of the British government (see Harold Smith’s expose here) and their collaborating competitors from other industrialized nations, (both West and East - listen to Howard Nicholas here).  These have concluded that they cannot maintain their current standard of living unless we are kept perpetually destabilized and constrained to remain nothing more than suppliers of raw materials, without any capacity to add value to these God-endowed natural resources. Their major pawn at the present time are the gullible elements within the Fulani leadership cadre, who have been sold the dummy that their greatness could only come by their importing Fulanis from all over West Africa to come repress the other indigenous nationalities in Nigeria.

 

There are also those "friendly foes" operating under the general banner of the New Sexuality Movement - pushing LGBT-Q, values,  legalized unrestricted abortion, prostitution, GMO in foods, earth worship and new age spirituality, and the likes.  These are mainly from North America.  Together with their other allied forces masquerading as pious philanthropists, these vermin have entrenched themselves in virtually every sector of our national life where they instigate conflicting policies meant to perpetually keep our nation under. It is time we wised up to these hordes of hell, and their desperate schemes to scuttle Nigeria’s forthcoming glorious destiny.  Exposing and resisting them will be the core of our present battle to birth a new Nigeria.

 

It was apt that the post-independence anniversary protests should start with the call for police reforms.  By our evaluation, this simple element could be the single most important starting point to effectively re-structure Nigeria.  Ahead of resource control, equitable representation in federal government structure and other key issues, security surely takes the lead!  We are persuaded that with policing devolved to the regions, and the concomitant transfer of the huge and currently abused “security votes” in each state to a transparently managed fund to support the emerging new Police departments, peace, accountability, and the rule of law would return to the regions. And with that coupled with the grace of God, it should not take long for the enterprising Nigerian spirit, both at home and in the diaspora,  to bring forth the glorious enviable nation Satan has so far desperately resisted.

 

All that is needed now is for Nigerians to ensure they maintain KEEN interests in these developments and keep the subject alive no matter the distractions that the Enemy will repeatedly try to introduce.

 

We particularly remind all those who name the name of Christ that the issues at hand are beyond party politics or ethnicity.  It is the almighty God who sets both geographical and temporal boundaries for nations (Acts 17:26); and He most certainly has his endtime purpose for the largest black nation on earth endowed with undeniably rich human, and natural resources.  Men of God, including non-Nigerians such as Pa S.G. Elton, Reinhard Bonnke, and Lance Lambert  have consistently declared that God is set on making Nigeria a praise and blessing to the nations at the endtimes. 

 

Of course we can’t be part of any lootings or violence in the name of birthing a new nation.  As children of God, we are guided in our actions knowing that we cannot “do evil so that good may come” (Rom 3:8). In the words of Prov 11:3-6, righteousness must literally guide our steps.

 

Nevertheless, we recognize that our God is the LORD of Hosts who commands not only all the hosts in heaven but also those in hell!  He very well could move any hosts anywhere to implement His agenda.  While the forces of light joyfully obey their King, the forces of darkness are compelled to do so, often imagining (until it becomes too late) that they were actually hurting the LORD.  [Scriptural examples abound: Pharaoh (Exo 14:4), the joint forces against Jehosaphath (2 Chr. 20:23), the “princes of this world” who crucified the Lord, (1 Cor. 2:8), and the coming One world government (Rev 17:17)].  We believe the LORD is moving simultaneously on several fronts, and the devil’s nightmare is trying to figure out which move is significant, and which might only be a decoy, or at best a side move! The LORD God almighty, and He alone, holds all the aces.

 

Introducing the Christian Leaders Assembly in Nigeria

 

We seize the opportunity to introduce one of the several divinely orchestrated nation-building tools, the LORD is bringing up in Nigeria these thrilling times. Birthed at the very same time the EndSARS protest was booting on October 8, the Christian Leaders Assembly targets the problem of chronic underdevelopment in Africa with the understanding that the problem is fundamentally rooted in the wicked covenants upon which many of our cities and societies were founded.  In other words, the endemic corruption and chaos which are so obviously decimating our nations are only inevitable fruits of evil foundations arising from covenants cut with evil forces. The way out is then to confront these unrighteous foundations with the superior covenant of blessings provided through Abraham and perfected through our Lord Jesus Christ.  Such confrontation is best effected one city/culture at a time taking into cognizance inherent peculiarities.  The initiative was conceived by a Nigerian in South Africa and is already taking shape in a few cities/cultures out there.  Pioneering the move in Nigeria (following a six-year gestation!) is the Christian Leaders Assembly - Yorubaland (CLAY) which convened for two days, beginning on that fateful Thursday October 8.  We enjoin readers to check details of how they could be part of the move at https://clay.ng.

 

Church Arise! strongly believes that it is a network of God-breathed initiatives such as the CLAY, spanning various regions and sectors of Nigeria, that would usher in the new Nigeria the LORD has promised. There is a role for every child of God to play as a labourer bringing in the harvest in our country at this most auspicious period (Mat. 9:37).  This is not the time to play siddon-look. Child of the Most High God, hands to the plough!

 

Shalom.

Church Arise!

Ile-Ife, 29th October, 2020.


Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Uncertain Times? Not At All! (by Jan Markel)

https://olivetreeviews.org/news/headlines/


By Jan Markell


September 1, 2020



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So many write me expressing shock, and even horror, at the tide of our times here in 2020. They see America crumbling under the weight of sin, debt, violence, immorality, and strong delusion. Right is wrong, black is white, evil is good, and good is evil.


We Are In the Center of the Storm


People of faith are in the bulls-eye so to speak!

Churches are inconvenient. The remnant of true believers is growing smaller while the Laodicea churches are mushrooming! Many churches have not even re-opened yet, and some are saying they won’t until 2021!


Many don’t even know how to think about the future much less plan for it. People write about “uncertainty”. Will things get worse? Probably. How can we plan ahead if the turmoil is going to continue?


A Word Fitly Spoken


Then a pastor sent me this e-mail:


“We don’t live in uncertain times. Not at all! These times are as certain as any time in all of human history, and the God of the universe laid out this time in great detail, point by point, and in fact, with all the detail needed by His people, to live in times of absolute certainty! So no, there’s nothing uncertain about the times we live in to the believer who is seeking to live by every word that proceeds from the mouth of God.”


It's All Aligning


He is right! The Bible outlined all the “things to come” in great detail and they are shaping up:


    Global government has to form and it is in the process. All governments will become more authoritarian along the way! With the new CDC report that just 6% of Covid deaths are directly attributed to the virus, the "pandemic" was but the crisis the globalists couldn't let go to waste. 



    God is sending a final warning to a sinful world.



    For the Church, God is shaking us up, trying to wake us up so that we will look up! There is Tribulation stage-setting going on such as today's lawlessness -- a precursor of what is to come when the Church is gone. 



    We are in the predicted last days’ perilous times (II Timothy 3). 



    America is going to lose international power so that the European power player can arise.



    Politics are important but they won’t save America. Government will be quite dysfunctional until Jesus rules from Jerusalem. Only a nation “under God” can be blessed and we have one political party that is at war with God. They want government to be god.



    There are terrible consequences when a nation goes astray and succumbs to a Romans 1 mentality. The Church is still here to put a lid on total chaos and some delusion as well. Just wait until we are gone. 



Are the Pulpits Still Silent?


I have referenced an April LifeWay poll before but it takes on even more meaning now. It revealed that a “vast majority of pastors see end times in our current events.” Are they talking about this from their pulpits and re-assuring their people? I do not think so.


Are they sharing about our glorious future, giving assurance to people? How about talking about the “blessed hope” now that hope in the world is fading?


I am not optimistic that they are! Rather, are they telling people that they can have their best life now? Hasn’t that all been proven to be a lie? Are they giving some end-time warnings?


A whopping 97% of those polled by LifeWay Research believe Jesus Christ will literally and personally return to earth again and 55% expect Jesus to return in their lifetime. This makes for tremendous sermon material! It also calms the mind and soul in troubled times.


Pastors, please don’t be silent! Some people are losing things precious to them: businesses, jobs, even lives or the lives of loved ones. Depression and suicides are at all-time highs.


The Most Certain Times in All of Human History!


Are they, then, re-assuring their people as my pastor friend did? Let me quote him again. He said, “We don’t live in uncertain times. Not at all! These times are as certain as any time in all of human history, and the God of the universe has laid out this time in great detail, point by point, and in fact, with all the detail needed by His people to live in times of absolute certainty. . . .”


A secular talk show host said that "A blanket of darkness has been thrown over us." But the believer cannot and must not think that way! An opportunity has been handed to us! Desperate people are more inclined to listen.


Things really aren’t falling apart. In fact, they are orchestrated. To suggest something is falling apart is to say they are out of God’s control. Nothing could be further from the truth as it concerns the last days. It’s just that your average Christian does not know the road map through the final days even though the Bible spends almost one-third of its pages talking about them!


In fact, everything is falling into place. Stay cool. Look up. The King is coming. It may be today! And you can't throw a blanket of darkness over anyone with an eternal perspective.

Thursday, July 23, 2020

Smarting about Tanzania’s common sense response to COVID-19


Below is how the globalist mouthpiece, Devex, reports Tanzania’s response to the coronavirus plandemic.  The report fails to address key issues which it glosses over: such as samples from goats and papaya testing positive to coronavirus, and desperately suggests that people living and enjoying their normal lives, as it was forced to concur, are somehow suffering because they refused to lock down their Churches and businesses. It insisted that local herbal treatments being used have not been shown by “research” to be effective – referring, of course, to globalist’s sanctioned research! Note that the globalists have been known to be at war even with the WHO whenever that organization attempted to show a little autonomy and go against the dictates of globalists “experts”.
In the conclusion, the authors of the article wistfully suggested that even if Magufuli’s government wasn’t going to comply 100%  with the globalists instructions to enforce a lockdown, (which decision they also conceded might have been reasonable), “it could have communicated its decision to avoid a lockdown in a more transparent way;” by which is meant government should have entered into “discussions” with the globalists and negotiate measures to take “while still keeping the economy open.”
Thank God for a bold reasonable African leader in John Magufuli.  May the LORD continue to protect Tanzania even as we know the globalists would be looking for any means to discredit this response that has clearly been of tremendous benefits to the people.
                                                    

·         Inside Development
·         COVID-19
Muddled messaging around COVID-19 complicates response in Tanzania
By Sara JervingAdva Saldinger // 21 July 2020
https://res.cloudinary.com/devex/image/fetch/c_scale,f_auto,q_auto,w_720/https:/lh6.googleusercontent.com/SOxsmQqrtCSH1CcerasYG6qUhzslDaaNdHyLsJo3T5KgovjmWJp2fIQoYkG_oa8cCpECbyeW0ZiDGotu7x5ARx2IWAOScXs4rpT6U92ucJykyH4dZoi2nL5T844t7w389y35J2ZzJohn Magufuli, president of Tanzania. Photo by: Paul Kagame / CC BY-NC-ND
NAIROBI/WASHINGTON — When John Peters, who lives in Dar es Salaam, tested positive for COVID-19 in mid-May, it was about two weeks after the Tanzanian government stopped reporting cases to the World Health Organization.
Others all around him also started getting sick. He personally knows about 25 people who tested positive.
After he received the results — about a week after he was tested — he was not asked for the names of the people he had been in contact with over the past few weeks to enable contact tracing. But Peters, whose name has been changed to avoid retribution from the government, was asked to sign a form saying he would stay home for 14 days.
Around this same time, there were reports of many hospitals in Dar es Salaam becoming overwhelmed, and three members of Parliament died in the span of 11 days of unknown causes — all raising suspicions that the government was covering up its COVID-19 caseload with its decision to not release figures.
WHILE SOME BUSINESSES DID CLOSE, AND THE GOVERNMENT SHUT SCHOOLS AND BANNED MASS GATHERINGS AT WEDDINGS AND FUNERALS, A FULL ECONOMIC LOCKDOWN WAS NEVER IMPLEMENTED.
In recent months, Tanzanian President John Magufuli has repeatedly minimized the risks of COVID-19, and he announced in June that God had removed the coronavirus from Tanzania. This has created a complicated environment for organizations focused on health communications to navigate as they work to educate communities about how to deal with the ongoing pandemic.
“This is a government in denial,” said Judd Devermont, director of the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “If you are an organization that is focused on preventing COVID cases from spreading and the government says there are no more COVID cases or is unwilling to share any information, how do you operate in that space?”
Tanzania has not reported a new case of COVID-19 to WHO for two and a half months — the longest gap in reporting from any country in Africa. The count stands at 509 cases and 21 deaths.
COVID-19 likened to Satan and goats tested
Tanzania, in some ways, started to lay the groundwork for an effective COVID-19 response in the months leading up to the pandemic.
In September, there were unofficial reports of people suffering from Ebola-like symptoms in the country. But while the government said that these people tested negative for the Ebola virus, it refused to provide WHO with requested information to further verify this.

But the risk of Ebola spreading to Tanzania from the outbreak in neighboring Congo led the government to convene its national task force on emergencies to prepare prevention and response mechanisms, including a committee on risk communication and community engagement, according to sources.
WHEN COVID-19 HIT, THESE STRUCTURES WERE IN PLACE, READY TO RESPOND TO THE NEW THREAT. THE GOVERNMENT GALVANIZED TO DISTRIBUTE PREVENTION MESSAGING WITH ITS PARTNERS.
AT THE START, THINGS WERE HEADING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION, SOURCES TOLD DEVEX. BUT THEN THE MESSAGING FROM THE TOP OF THE GOVERNMENT BEGAN TO CHANGE.
AT THE END OF MARCH, MAGUFULI ENCOURAGED PEOPLE TO CONTINUE VISITING PLACES OF WORSHIP — A MOVE THAT BUCKED INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC HEALTH RECOMMENDATIONS — while comparing the virus to Satan and saying that it “cannot survive in the body of Jesus Christ.”
THEN IN MAY, THE PRESIDENT CAST DOUBT ON THE DATA AROUND CASES BY SUGGESTING THAT PEOPLE WHO TEST POSITIVE MIGHT NOT ACTUALLY BE INFECTED. HE SAID HE SECRETLY TESTED A PAPAYA, A GOAT, AND A QUAIL FOR COVID-19 — ALL TESTING POSITIVE — TO PROVE HIS POINT.
He also questioned the safety of imported masks, stopped the disinfection of public places, AND TOUTED AN HERBAL REMEDY AS A CURE FOR COVID-19, WHICH RESEARCH HAS NOT PROVED EFFECTIVE.
Then on June 9, Magufuli declared that “Corona in our country has been removed by the powers of God.” Celebrations followed.
He reiterated that COVID-19 was eliminated from Tanzania in a speech on Monday.
"OUR ENEMIES WILL SPEAK A LOT, BUT THE REALITY REMAINS THAT TANZANIA IS SAFE AND THAT IS WHY NONE OF US HERE IS PUTTING ON A MASK. DOES IT MEAN WE ARE NOT AFRAID OF DYING? NO, IT IS BECAUSE CORONA HAS BEEN ELIMINATED,” HE SAID.
NOW, LIFE HAS LARGELY RETURNED TO NORMAL IN TANZANIA, SOURCES TELL DEVEX. SCHOOLS HAVE REOPENED, MANY PEOPLE ARE WALKING AROUND WITHOUT MASKS, AND THE GOVERNMENT HAS CLOSED MANY OF ITS COVID-19 CENTERS.
“IF YOU WENT INTO A COMA LAST YEAR AND YOU WOKE UP RIGHT NOW IN DAR ES SALAAM, YOU WOULD THINK THAT LIFE IS NORMAL,” PETERS SAID.
While the government stopped reporting cases to WHO at the end of April, the health agency and other partners continue to provide the Tanzanian government with technical support on its response, including on case management, infection prevention and control, surveillance and laboratory strengthening, risk communication and community engagement, and logistics, according to an email from WHO.
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Confusing narratives, ineffective messaging
The president’s messaging on the pandemic, along with the Ministry of Health’s failure to approve messaging around COVID-19 for groups to use, was a “massive blow” to organizations working to educate populations on protecting themselves from the spread of the virus, said a health communications expert, who wished to remain anonymous due to concerns around publicly criticizing the government.
“The wind is very much out of the sails of the health communications sector,” the expert said. “There is a very steep hill now because there are counternarratives that are more attractive and louder. The population must be just completely confused.”
One of the problems is that the measures that are recommended — washing hands, wearing masks, and social distancing — are inconvenient and can be expensive for people living in poverty. It can be hard to convince a population of the importance of taking these inconvenient measures to combat a disease if they do not understand how many people in the country are infected and their personal risk of contracting the virus, sources said.
Civil society groups are in a tricky position because of the shrinking space for them in Tanzania under Magufuli and the need to act in accordance with government messaging, said Mwanahamisi Salimu Singano, a Tanzanian development expert. Now that the government has said the COVID-19 outbreak is over in the country, they are pressured to accept this.
Some of these groups would have likely played a significant role in an inclusive response to the pandemic that would reach vulnerable communities, such as people living with disabilities, she said.
"There is less conversation now, whether in a civil society space or an individual space, that there is COVID-19 in Tanzania — which makes now the response to be almost impossible," she said. "Most people went back to business as usual. That is where we are at in Tanzania, in my sense."
In the absence of data on case count, it is also difficult for organizations to effectively target their programs, sources told Devex.
“Without guidance, there's no light to guide you in terms of how you allocate limited resources to do the greatest good,” CSIS’ Devermont said.

Balancing risks, improving communication
SOURCES TOLD DEVEX THAT THERE DO APPEAR TO BE FEWER CASES OF COVID-19 IN TANZANIA NOW THAN IN THE INITIAL MONTHS OF THE PANDEMIC.
While it is uncertain whether this is true or why that might be, sources told Devex about some theories. Perhaps people have developed some level of immunity after months of spiking cases — although a growing body of research suggests that any immunity among people who had COVID-19 is short-lived.
There is also speculation that people with COVID-19 symptoms are no longer getting tested, due to the lack of government emphasis and the population’s feeling that the pandemic is under control, Singano said.
AS FOR THE GOVERNMENT’S APPROACH OVERALL, SOME SOURCES TOLD DEVEX THAT THE DECISION TO AVOID A FULL LOCKDOWN MIGHT HAVE MADE SENSE IN THE TANZANIAN CONTEXT.
A LOCKDOWN IS INTENDED TO SPACE OUT THE NUMBER OF INFECTIONS AT ANY GIVEN TIME SO THAT A COUNTRY’S HEALTH SYSTEM CAN COPE WITH THE CASELOAD, SAID RISHA CHANDE, DIRECTOR OF ADVOCACY AND ENGAGEMENT AT TWAWEZA, A TANZANIAN ORGANIZATION FOCUSED ON ENHANCING SOCIETY ENGAGEMENT.
“YOU MIGHT EVEN BE FLATTENING THE CURVE FOR 10 YEARS WITHOUT MAKING IT POSSIBLE FOR OUR HEALTH SECTOR TO COPE IF OUR CASELOAD AND SEVERITY HAD BEEN COMPARABLE TO THE U.S. AND THE U.K.,” SHE ADDED.
GIVEN THE LIMITED UTILITY OF A LOCKDOWN, THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES MIGHT NOT BE WORTH IT. BUT EVEN SO, SOURCES SAID, THE TANZANIAN GOVERNMENT COULD HAVE COMMUNICATED ITS DECISION TO AVOID A LOCKDOWN IN A MORE TRANSPARENT WAY. THIS COULD HAVE INVOLVED DISCUSSIONS AROUND PROTECTING VULNERABLE POPULATIONS WHILE STILL KEEPING THE ECONOMY OPEN.
“A coherent line could have emerged, which would maybe not be all that different than the practice in Tanzania, which is to say: ‘Honestly, folks, we're not going to lock down because we have an economy that’s not up to it. But here are some things that you can do in your own lives that can help you to be safer,’” the communications expert, who wished not to be named, told Devex.
Update, July 21, 2020: This article has been updated to include comments made by President Magufuli on July 20.

Thursday, July 9, 2020

LOCKDOWN LUNACY 2.0: Second wave? Not even close. - J.B. Handley


This lucid article, full of facts and figures, is a must-read for everyone who really wishes to understand the course of COVID-19, past, present, and future.  Below are some extracts to whet your appetite.  Please visit the Childrens Health Defense website for the full article.

Joshua



JULY 07, 2020
LOCKDOWN LUNACY 2.0: Second wave? Not even close.
By J.B. Handley, CHD Contributing Writer

Why did politicians ever lockdown society in the first place? Can we all agree that the stated purpose was to “flatten the curve” so our hospital system could handle the inevitable COVID-19 patients who needed care? At that point, at least, back in early March, people were behaving rationally. They accepted that you can’t eradicate a virus, so let’s postpone things enough to handle it. The fact is, we have done that, and so much more. The headlines are filled with dire warnings of a “second wave” and trigger-happy Governors are rolling back regulations to try to stem the tide of new cases. But, is any of it actually true and should we all be worried? No, it’s not a second wave. The COVID-19 virus is on its final legs, and while I have filled this post with graphs to prove everything I just said, this is really the only graph you need to see, it’s the CDC’s data, over time, of deaths from COVID-19 here in the U.S., and the trend line is unmistakable:
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The Herd Immunity Threshold (“HIT”) for COVID-19 is between 10-20%

This fact gets less press than any other. Most people understand the basic concept of herd immunity and the math behind it. In the early days, some public health officials speculated that COVID-19’s HIT was 70%. Obviously, the difference between a HIT of 70% and a HIT of 10-20% is dramatic, and the lower the HIT, the quicker a virus will burn out as it loses the ability to infect more people, which is exactly what COVID-19 is doing everywhere, including the U.S, which is why the death curve above looks the way it looks. Scientists from Oxford, Virginia Tech, and the Liverpool school of Tropical Medicine, all recently explained the HIT of COVID-19 in this paper:
“We searched the literature for estimates of individual variation in propensity to acquire or transmit COVID-19 or other infectious diseases and overlaid the findings as vertical lines in Figure 3. Most CV estimates are comprised between 2 and 4, a range where naturally acquired immunity to SARS-CoV-2 may place populations over the herd immunity threshold once as few as 10-20% of its individuals are immune.”
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Calculations from this study of data in Stockholm showed a HIT of 17%, and if you really love data check out this great essay by Brown Professor Dr. Andrew Bostom titled, COVID-19 ‘herd immunity’ without vaccination? Teaching modern vaccine dogma old tricks. I’m going to share his summary with you, because it’s so good:
Naturally acquired herd immunity to COVID-19 combined with earnest protection of the vulnerable elderly — especially nursing home and assisted living facility residents — is an eminently reasonable and practical alternative to the dubious panacea of mass compulsory vaccination against the virus. THIS STRATEGY WAS SUCCESSFULLY IMPLEMENTED IN MALMO, SWEDEN, WHICH HAD FEW COVID-19 DEATHS BY ASSIDUOUSLY PROTECTING ITS ELDER CARE HOMES, WHILE ‘SCHOOLS REMAINED OPEN, RESIDENTS CARRIED ON DRINKING IN BARS AND CAFES, AND THE DOORS OF HAIRDRESSERS AND GYMS WERE OPEN THROUGHOUT.”
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One of the most vocal members of the scientific community discussing COVID-19’s HIT is Stanford’s Nobel-laureate Dr. Michael Levitt. Back on May 4, he gave this great interview to the Stanford Daily where he advocated for Sweden’s approach of letting COVID-19 spread naturally through the community until you arrive at HIT. He stated:
 “If Sweden stops at about 5,000 or 6,000 deaths, we will know that they’ve reached herd immunity, and we didn’t need to do any kind of lockdown. My own feeling is that it will probably stop because of herd immunity. COVID is serious, it’s at least a serious flu. But it’s not going to destroy humanity as people thought.”
 Guess what? That’s exactly what happened. As of today, 7 weeks after his prediction, Sweden has 5,280 deaths. In this graph, you can see that deaths in Sweden PEAKED when the HIT was halfway to its peak (roughly 7.3%) and by the time the virus hit 14% it was nearly extinguished.
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By the way, as a quick aside, and something else the press won’t touch: COVID-19 is a coronavirus, and we have ALL been exposed to MANY coronaviruses during our lives on earth (like the common cold). Guess what? Scientists are now showing evidence that up to 81% of us can mount a strong response to COVID-19 without ever having been exposed to it before:
Many of us have always been immune! If that’s not enough for you, a similar study from Sweden was just released and shows that “roughly twice as many people have developed T-cell immunity compared with those who we can detect antibodies in.” (We kind of knew this from the data on the Diamond Princess when only 17% of the people on board tested positive, despite an ideal environment for mass spread, implying 83% of the people were somehow protected from the new virus.)
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Fact #1: All of the “second wave” states have dramatically increased their testing. This alone causes cases to rise, and is the single biggest reason they have.
Fact #2: Hospitalizations for COVID-19 are up slightly because of how COVID-19 positive patients are tracked. They will be in the number even if they didn’t go to the hospital BECAUSE of COVID-19.
Fact #3: A REAL rise in both cases and hospitalizations perfectly matches the timing of the nationwide protests which included many densely-packed crowds together for many hours and even days. However, the good news about all of this is that there has been no impact on the number of COVID-19 patients in ICUs, which is consistent with the fact that we know younger patients are less impacted by COVID-19, check out this chart:

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In Conclusion

Dr. Michael Levitt and Sweden have been right all along. The only way through COVID-19 is by achieving the modest (10-20%) Herd Immunity Threshold required to have the virus snuff itself out. The sooner politicians—and the press—start talking about HIT and stop talking about new confirmed cases, the better off we will all be. Either way, it’s likely weeks, not months, before the data of new daily deaths will be so low that the press will have to find something new to scare everyone. It’s over.
A quick note:
Haters of this article will post articles about Sweden saying their approach has been a failure. They will point to recent press about Sweden having higher rates of COVID-19 positive tests lately—Sweden has pushed back strongly—so here’s a chart for the haters, it shows positive cases in Sweden, tracked against deaths. There’s no correlation.

For my truly committed readers who made it this far:

“The death rate is a fact; anything beyond this is an inference.”

—William Farr (1807 – 1883)
William Farr, creator of Farr’s law, knew this over 100 years ago. Viruses rise and fall at roughly the same slopes. It’s predictable, and COVID-19 is no different, which is why, after looking at all these death curves, it’s not very hard to declare that the pandemic is over. Oxford’s center for Evidence Based Medicine has a wonderful explanation of Farr’s law, and it’s well worth a read. Some of my favorite quotes:
“Farr shows us that once peak infection has been reached then it will roughly follow the same symmetrical pattern on the downward slope.”
“In the midst of a pandemic, it is easy to forget Farr’s Law, and think the number infected will just keep rising, it will not. Just as quick as measures were introduced to prevent the spread of infection we need to recognise the point at which to open up society and also the special measures due to ‘density’ that require special considerations.”

About the author: J.B. Handley is the best-selling author of How to End the Autism Epidemic. He graduated with honors from Stanford University, and currently serves as a Managing member of Bochi Investments, a private investment firm. He can be reached at jbhandleyblog@gmail.com