Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Dr. Fauci NEJM Editorial Suggests That COVID-19 Fatality Rates May Be 10x Lower Than Official Projections

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Dr. Fauci, whose guidance to President Trump has resulted in a near total lockdown of the country, recently published an editorial in New England Journal of Medicine that rightly points out serious flaws in his own doom-and-gloom COVID-19 fatality projections.
Dr. Anthony Fauci is the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and the guiding force behind President Trump’s recent order to extend social distancing guidelines another 14 days toward the end of April; social distancing guidelines that require maintaining "shelter-in-place" quarantines and extrending the shut down of millions of businesses and livelihoods which have already suffered irreparable and potentially catastrophic consequences.
It has been the president and mainstream media’s seemingly unquestioning confidence in the accuracy of Dr. Fauci’s projections which led Trump to announce on March 15th that he would adopt Dr. Fauci's aggressive strategy of locking down the country for  14-days in order to prevent what he warned could be 1.7 million Americans fatalities from COVID-19 if his advice was not heeded.  
Yet, in a strange turn of events, an editorial authored by Dr. Fauci and published online on February 28 in the New England Journal of Medicine titled, “Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted,” points out that, while at present, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%, these statistics are based on case definitions requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, i.e., only those who are acutely ill with pneumonia are counted as COVID-19 infected, and not the potentially vast pool of individuals who are asymptomatic carriers or are only suffering from mild symptoms. His paper elaborates further on this point:
 “If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.” [bold added]
In fact. Dr. Fauci suggests the case fatality rate might be as low as 0.1%.
This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2” [bold added]
Dr. Fauci’s paper rightly points out the likelihood that there is a massive submerged iceberg of asymptomatic or mild cases of COVID-19 that have gone completely unacknowledged and untested, and that therefore the death toll from COVID-19 is more akin to seasonal influenza at 0.1%. 
It turns out that seasonal flu has far more deaths attributed to it (23,000) than COVID-19 (2,449 as of 3/31/20 according to the CDC). As reported by LiveScience:
"...in the U.S. alone, the flu (also called influenza) has caused an estimated 38 million illnesses, 390,000 hospitalizations and 23,000 deaths this season, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)." 
Given these facts, how can the dominant narrative any longer be unquestionably maintained, namely, that we are all facing a deadly pandemic that requires the total suspension of all our basic civil liberties to combat, while at the time causing potentially catastrophic effects to the socioeconomic and psychobiological health of hundreds of Americans,  amplified by what is an irrational and media-hyped fear and panic? Learn more and take action at Stand for Health Freedom and their most recent campaign: Could Unchecked Government Power Be More Dangerous than the Threat of Infectious Disease? 
To learn more about the highly confusing and flawed COVID-19 testing methodologies read: Op-Ed: Does the 2019 Coronavirus Exist?

To learn more about the misleading fatality projections, read COVID-19 - Evidence Over Hysteria.

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